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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Team Altamura vs Potenza prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Team Altamura host Potenza in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Team Altamura had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Potenza had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Team Altamura's last 10 and 8 of Potenza's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Team Altamura averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Potenza averaged 1.78 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Team Altamura and 2.15 from Potenza. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 60%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Team Altamura (green) and Potenza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Altamura | WLDLW | 0.80 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Potenza | WWWWW | 2.30 | 1.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone C matches that day
- Casertana vs Bari · 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone C
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33