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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tasmania Berlin host SV Babelsberg 03 in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tasmania Berlin 6–0 SV Babelsberg 03.
Going into the match, Tasmania Berlin had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 31. SV Babelsberg 03 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tasmania Berlin's last 10 and 6 of SV Babelsberg 03's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tasmania Berlin averaged 2.43 goals scored and 2.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home SV Babelsberg 03 averaged 2.46 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Tasmania Berlin and 2.57 from SV Babelsberg 03. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 51%, against 27%, 23% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tasmania Berlin (green) and SV Babelsberg 03 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | LLDLL | 1.20 | 3.10 | 70% | 70% |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | DWLWD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.74 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 Win | 50% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.37 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Tasmania Berlin form and statistics
- SV Babelsberg 03 form and statistics
- Regionalliga - Nordost statistics
Other Regionalliga - Nordost matches that day
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 · FT 2–2 - Hertha BSC II vs RSV Eintracht · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.42 · FT 0–1