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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt host FSV Zwickau in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–2 FSV Zwickau.
Going into the match, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 12. FSV Zwickau had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 10 and 7 of FSV Zwickau's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt averaged 2.93 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FSV Zwickau averaged 1.92 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 1.51 from FSV Zwickau. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 21%, against 52%, 23% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (green) and FSV Zwickau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | LWDWW | 3.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 90% |
| FSV Zwickau | WDLLD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · FSV Zwickau 2–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt Win | 52% | 1.74 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 49% | 1.86 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt form and statistics
- FSV Zwickau form and statistics
- Regionalliga - Nordost statistics
Other Regionalliga - Nordost matches that day
- Hertha BSC II vs RSV Eintracht · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.42 · FT 0–1 - Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 · FT 6–0