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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Tamaraceite vs Xerez prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tamaraceite host Xerez in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Xerez to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tamaraceite had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Xerez had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tamaraceite's last 10 and 4 of Xerez's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tamaraceite averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Xerez averaged 0.17 scored and 0.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Tamaraceite and 0.64 from Xerez. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 22%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamaraceite | LWLWL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Xerez | LWLDW | 0.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.76 |
| Xerez Win | 50% | 1.85 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 45% | 2.07 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches that day
- Real Betis II vs Recreativo Huelva · 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.69 - Antoniano vs Estepona · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Antoniano Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.43 - Las Palmas II vs Atlético Central · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Tenerife II vs Don Benito · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Sevilla Atletico vs Puente Genil · 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Sevilla Atletico Draw No Bet @ 1.40