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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Banus Football Center, Marbella
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marbella host Mijas Las Lagunas in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals — more than 0.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Marbella had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Mijas Las Lagunas had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Marbella's last 10 and 8 of Mijas Las Lagunas's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marbella averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 1.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Marbella and 1.93 from Mijas Las Lagunas. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 49%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | LDLLD | 1.10 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | DWWDW | 2.20 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.08 |
| Marbella Win | 48% | 1.91 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.99 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Marbella form and statistics
- Mijas Las Lagunas form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches that day
- Real Betis II vs Recreativo Huelva · 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.69 - Tamaraceite vs Xerez · 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22 - Antoniano vs Estepona · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Antoniano Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.43 - Las Palmas II vs Atlético Central · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Tenerife II vs Don Benito · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Sevilla Atletico vs Puente Genil · 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Published pick: Sevilla Atletico Draw No Bet @ 1.40