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AFC Challenge League · International
Tainan City vs Pusamania Borneo prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tainan City host Pusamania Borneo in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pusamania Borneo Win — Pusamania Borneo to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tainan City 1–3 Pusamania Borneo.
Going into the match, Tainan City had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Pusamania Borneo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tainan City's last 10 and 4 of Pusamania Borneo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tainan City averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pusamania Borneo averaged 1.14 scored and 0.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Tainan City and 1.38 from Pusamania Borneo. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%, against 10%, 21% and 70% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tainan City (green) and Pusamania Borneo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tainan City | DLDDW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Pusamania Borneo | WLDWL | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pusamania Borneo Win | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Pusamania Borneo HT & FT | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 0-2 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger · 21 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Manila Digger Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Kasuka vs Shan United · 21 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–2