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AFC Challenge League · International
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hang Yuen host Manila Digger in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 21 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Manila Digger Win — Manila Digger to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hang Yuen 1–1 Manila Digger.
Going into the match, Hang Yuen had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Manila Digger had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hang Yuen's last 10 and 3 of Manila Digger's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hang Yuen averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Manila Digger averaged 2.58 scored and 0.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Hang Yuen and 0.94 from Manila Digger. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 39%, against 16%, 20% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hang Yuen (green) and Manila Digger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Yuen | DDDDW | 1.20 | 0.50 | 40% | 20% |
| Manila Digger | WWWWW | 2.60 | 0.40 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| Manila Digger Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Manila Digger HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Tainan City vs Pusamania Borneo · 21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Pusamania Borneo Win @ 1.28 · FT 1–3 - Kasuka vs Shan United · 21 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–2