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K League 2 · South Korea
Suwon City FC vs Asan Mugunghwa prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Suwon City FC host Asan Mugunghwa in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Suwon City FC had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Asan Mugunghwa had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Suwon City FC's last 10 and 5 of Asan Mugunghwa's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Suwon City FC averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Asan Mugunghwa averaged 0.92 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Suwon City FC and 0.94 from Asan Mugunghwa. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon City FC | WWWDD | 1.60 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Asan Mugunghwa | DDWLL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Asan Mugunghwa 1–3 Suwon City FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners · 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Cheongju vs Yongin City · 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong · 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40