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K League 2 · South Korea
Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paju Citizen host Hwaseong in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Paju Citizen had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Hwaseong had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Paju Citizen's last 10 and 5 of Hwaseong's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paju Citizen averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hwaseong averaged 1.55 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Paju Citizen and 1.44 from Hwaseong. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 49%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paju Citizen | LDWDL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
| Hwaseong | LLDWD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Hwaseong 1–2 Paju Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners · 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Cheongju vs Yongin City · 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Suwon City FC vs Asan Mugunghwa · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Seongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40