Surkhon vs Xorazm prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.28Market probability 72%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Surkhon host Xorazm in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Surkhon to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Surkhon 0–0 Xorazm.

Going into the match, Surkhon had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Xorazm had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Surkhon's last 10 and 6 of Xorazm's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Surkhon averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Xorazm averaged 0.80 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Surkhon and 0.61 from Xorazm. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Surkhon (green) and Xorazm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence78% – 22%

Head-to-head36% – 64%

Goals45% – 55%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Surkhon	DWLWL	0.50	0.70	20%	20%
Xorazm	DLLDL	1.00	1.90	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 Jul 2026 · Xorazm 1–0 Surkhon

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	72%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.37
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
BTTS Yes	51%	1.79
Over 2.5 Goals	46%	2.05
Surkhon Win	43%	2.10
Draw	28%	3.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.