Kokand-1912 vs Neftchi prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Neftchi WinOdds 1.57Market probability 58%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Kokand-1912 host Neftchi in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 16 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Neftchi Win — Neftchi to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Kokand-1912 2–4 Neftchi.

Going into the match, Kokand-1912 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Neftchi had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Kokand-1912's last 10 and 5 of Neftchi's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kokand-1912 averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Neftchi averaged 1.55 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Kokand-1912 and 2.12 from Neftchi. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 57%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Kokand-1912 (green) and Neftchi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%

Attack38% – 63%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals29% – 71%

Overall strength35% – 65%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Kokand-1912	WLLLD	1.00	0.90	50%	40%
Neftchi	LDWWW	1.70	1.60	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

29 Apr 2026 · Neftchi 4–0 Kokand-1912

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.38
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Neftchi Win	58%	1.57
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.