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Championship · Northern Ireland
Strabane Athletic vs Ballinamallard United prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Strabane Athletic host Ballinamallard United in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Strabane Athletic had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Ballinamallard United had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Strabane Athletic's last 10 and 8 of Ballinamallard United's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Strabane Athletic averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ballinamallard United averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Strabane Athletic and 1.68 from Ballinamallard United. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 55%, against 31%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Strabane Athletic (green) and Ballinamallard United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strabane Athletic | LDLDW | 0.70 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Ballinamallard United | DDWDL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Strabane Athletic form and statistics
- Ballinamallard United form and statistics
- Championship statistics
Other Championship matches that day
- Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44