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Championship · Northern Ireland
Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newry City AFC host Newington Youth in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Newry City AFC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Newington Youth had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Newry City AFC's last 10 and 4 of Newington Youth's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newry City AFC averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Newington Youth averaged 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Newry City AFC and 1.72 from Newington Youth. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%, against 37%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newry City AFC (green) and Newington Youth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | LDWLW | 1.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Newington Youth | LWLLW | 2.00 | 2.10 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Strabane Athletic vs Ballinamallard United · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67