Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle IF prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Stockholm Internazionale host Gefle IF in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Stockholm Internazionale 1–1 Gefle IF.

Going into the match, Stockholm Internazionale had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 7. Gefle IF had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Stockholm Internazionale's last 10 and 4 of Gefle IF's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stockholm Internazionale averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Gefle IF averaged 0.92 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Stockholm Internazionale and 0.66 from Gefle IF. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 8%, against 75%, 15% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Stockholm Internazionale (green) and Gefle IF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form79% – 21%

Attack79% – 21%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Stockholm Internazionale	WWWWW	2.70	0.70	30%	80%
Gefle IF	DLLWL	1.30	1.20	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Jun 2026 · Gefle IF 0–2 Stockholm Internazionale

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Stockholm Internazionale Win	73%	1.20
Over 2.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.61
Stockholm Internazionale HT & FT	54%	1.73
Stockholm Internazionale 1st Half Win	54%	1.67
BTTS No	50%	1.84
3-0	12%	8.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.