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Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.70Market probability 56%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Stevenage host Plymouth in the League One (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth.

Going into the match, Stevenage had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Plymouth had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Stevenage's last 10 and 5 of Plymouth's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stevenage averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Plymouth averaged 2.29 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Stevenage and 1.34 from Plymouth. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 36%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Stevenage (green) and Plymouth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence55% – 45%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals30% – 70%
Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
StevenageLWWWL1.801.2050%60%
PlymouthLWDWL2.101.3050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals74%1.25
Double Chance 1272%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals70%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes56%1.70
Over 2.5 Goals50%1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other League One matches that day