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Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Notts County host Sheffield Wednesday in the League One (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Notts County 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
Going into the match, Notts County had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Sheffield Wednesday had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Notts County's last 10 and 5 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Notts County averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sheffield Wednesday averaged 1.00 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Notts County and 1.08 from Sheffield Wednesday. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 33%, against 29%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Notts County (green) and Sheffield Wednesday (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | LWLWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | WDWWD | 2.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–3 - Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Bromley vs Leicester · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–4 - Burton Albion vs Bradford · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–0 - Cambridge United vs Wycombe · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Doncaster vs Stockport County · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Huddersfield vs Peterborough · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–1 - Luton vs Barnsley · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: Luton Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Oxford United vs Wigan · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 · FT 2–1 - Stevenage vs Plymouth · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 3–0