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Cup · Belgium
Standard Liege vs Dender prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Standard Liege host Dender in the Cup (Belgium) on 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Standard Liege Win — Standard Liege to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Standard Liege 2–0 Dender.
Going into the match, Standard Liege had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Dender had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Standard Liege's last 10 and 1 of Dender's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Standard Liege averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Dender averaged 1.44 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Standard Liege and 1.05 from Dender. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Standard Liege (green) and Dender (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | LLLWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Dender | WWWWW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 10% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 81% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Standard Liege Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.73 · FT 3–0 - Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–0