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Cup · Belgium
Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Hasselt host Cercle Brugge in the Cup (Belgium) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Hasselt 1–2 Cercle Brugge.
Going into the match, Sporting Hasselt had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Cercle Brugge had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sporting Hasselt's last 10 and 6 of Cercle Brugge's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Hasselt averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Cercle Brugge averaged 1.56 scored and 2.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Sporting Hasselt and 1.24 from Cercle Brugge. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 19%, against 23%, 22% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Hasselt (green) and Cercle Brugge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Hasselt | WWLWL | 1.60 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Cercle Brugge | LLDLL | 1.10 | 2.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Standard Liege vs Dender · 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Standard Liege Win @ 1.62 · FT 2–0 - SK Beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.73 · FT 3–0 - KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden · 16 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–0