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2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, SpVgg Greuther Fürth had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Holstein Kiel had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 10 and 4 of Holstein Kiel's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SpVgg Greuther Fürth averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Holstein Kiel averaged 0.90 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.03 from Holstein Kiel. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 37%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SpVgg Greuther Fürth (green) and Holstein Kiel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | LWLLD | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Holstein Kiel | DWDLW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Bundesliga matches that day
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden · 1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 1 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20