Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sportivo Trinidense host Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 18 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Libertad Asuncion.

Going into the match, Sportivo Trinidense had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Libertad Asuncion had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Sportivo Trinidense's last 10 and 6 of Libertad Asuncion's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Trinidense averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.07 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Sportivo Trinidense and 1.18 from Libertad Asuncion. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sportivo Trinidense (green) and Libertad Asuncion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength47% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sportivo Trinidense	DWWLW	1.40	1.10	60%	60%
Libertad Asuncion	DWLDD	1.40	1.20	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

11 Aug 2026 · Libertad Asuncion 2–1 Sportivo Trinidense
13 Apr 2026 · Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	53%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.