Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sportivo Luqueno host Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 18 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sportivo Luqueno 3–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Going into the match, Sportivo Luqueno had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Club Sp. San Lorenzo had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Sportivo Luqueno's last 10 and 6 of Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Luqueno averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 0.67 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Sportivo Luqueno and 0.84 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 21%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sportivo Luqueno (green) and Club Sp. San Lorenzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sportivo Luqueno	LLDLW	0.90	1.80	50%	60%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo	DDDDW	0.80	1.70	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Aug 2026 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–2 Sportivo Luqueno
17 May 2026 · Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–0 Sportivo Luqueno

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	78%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Sportivo Luqueno Win	51%	1.80
BTTS Yes	51%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.