Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 73%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sportivo Luqueno host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sportivo Luqueno had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Nacional Asuncion had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sportivo Luqueno's last 10 and 3 of Nacional Asuncion's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Luqueno averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.38 scored and 0.85 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Sportivo Luqueno and 1.71 from Nacional Asuncion. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 64%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sportivo Luqueno (green) and Nacional Asuncion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence23% – 77%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength32% – 67%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sportivo Luqueno	LLWLL	0.80	1.80	40%	50%
Nacional Asuncion	LWWDD	1.40	0.60	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

24 Aug 2026 · Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	76%	1.22
Under 3.5 Goals	73%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.29
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.37
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.39
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.84
BTTS Yes	51%	1.81
Nacional Asuncion Win	50%	1.88

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.