Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo

The PunterPick prediction

Libertad Asuncion Win & Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.67Market probability 51%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Libertad Asuncion Win & Over 1.5 Goals — Libertad Asuncion Win & Over 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Club Sp. San Lorenzo had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Libertad Asuncion had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 10 and 6 of Libertad Asuncion's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.00 scored and 1.47 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.50 from Libertad Asuncion. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 56%, against 14%, 21% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Club Sp. San Lorenzo (green) and Libertad Asuncion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form30% – 70%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals11% – 89%

Overall strength29% – 71%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Club Sp. San Lorenzo	LLDDD	1.00	1.70	70%	60%
Libertad Asuncion	WWLDW	1.60	1.00	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Aug 2026 · Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 May 2026 · Libertad Asuncion 5–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.34
Libertad Asuncion Win	66%	1.45
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.41
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.48
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
BTTS Yes	51%	1.82
Libertad Asuncion HT & FT	48%	1.99

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.