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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Italiano host Villa Dalmine in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sportivo Italiano had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Villa Dalmine had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sportivo Italiano's last 10 and 2 of Villa Dalmine's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Italiano averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Villa Dalmine averaged 0.75 scored and 0.88 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Sportivo Italiano and 0.55 from Villa Dalmine. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 18%, against 34%, 32% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano | LDWWW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
| Villa Dalmine | WLDLD | 0.50 | 1.10 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · Villa Dalmine 2–1 Sportivo Italiano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sportivo Italiano form and statistics
- Villa Dalmine form and statistics
- Primera B Metropolitana statistics
Other Primera B Metropolitana matches that day
- Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Deportivo Merlo +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.23 - Deportivo Camioneros vs Excursionistas · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar · 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44