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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Merlo host Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Deportivo Merlo +1.5 Asian Handicap — Deportivo Merlo +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Deportivo Merlo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Arsenal Sarandi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Deportivo Merlo's last 10 and 3 of Arsenal Sarandi's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Merlo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Arsenal Sarandi averaged 0.56 scored and 0.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Deportivo Merlo and 1.32 from Arsenal Sarandi. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 50%, against 26%, 30% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | LWDDL | 0.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Arsenal Sarandi | WDWLW | 1.60 | 0.50 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Arsenal Sarandi 4–2 Deportivo Merlo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Arsenal Sarandi Win | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Deportivo Merlo form and statistics
- Arsenal Sarandi form and statistics
- Primera B Metropolitana statistics
Other Primera B Metropolitana matches that day
- Deportivo Camioneros vs Excursionistas · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar · 31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Primera B Metropolitana
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44