Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction and preview

7 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sporting CP host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 7 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sporting CP had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Moreirense had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 5 of Moreirense's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting CP averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Moreirense averaged 1.00 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.59 goals from Sporting CP and 0.83 from Moreirense. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 9%, against 80%, 13% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sporting CP (green) and Moreirense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals80% – 20%

Overall strength61% – 38%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sporting CP	WWWLL	1.90	1.10	70%	60%
Moreirense	WWLLD	1.10	1.60	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
Over 2.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Sporting CP HT & FT	61%	1.57
Sporting CP 1st Half Win	61%	1.50
BTTS No	55%	1.70
Under 3.5 Goals	55%	1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Over 3.5 Goals	45%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.