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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting CP host Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 25 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sporting CP had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 11. Academico Viseu had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting CP's last 10 and 5 of Academico Viseu's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting CP averaged 2.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Academico Viseu averaged 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Sporting CP and 0.86 from Academico Viseu. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 77%, 16% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting CP (green) and Academico Viseu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | LWWDD | 2.50 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Academico Viseu | LWWWW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.53 |
| Sporting CP 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.57 |
| Sporting CP HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primeira Liga matches that day
- Nacional vs SC Braga · 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.55 - Rio Ave vs Famalicao · 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 - Estoril vs Moreirense · 25 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28