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Regionalliga - West · Germany
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportfreunde Siegen host Rot-weiss Oberhausen in the Regionalliga - West (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportfreunde Siegen 3–1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen.
Going into the match, Sportfreunde Siegen had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 15. Rot-weiss Oberhausen had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sportfreunde Siegen's last 10 and 7 of Rot-weiss Oberhausen's last 10; 9 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportfreunde Siegen averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Rot-weiss Oberhausen averaged 2.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Sportfreunde Siegen and 2.00 from Rot-weiss Oberhausen. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 37%, against 15%, 20% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportfreunde Siegen (green) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Siegen | WLWLW | 2.10 | 1.50 | 70% | 90% |
| Rot-weiss Oberhausen | WWWLW | 2.90 | 1.30 | 70% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Rot-weiss Oberhausen 3–1 Sportfreunde Siegen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Rot-weiss Oberhausen Win | 66% | 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.68 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.31 |
| 0-2 | 13% | 7.42 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sportfreunde Siegen form and statistics
- Rot-weiss Oberhausen form and statistics
- Regionalliga - West statistics
Other Regionalliga - West matches that day
- Borussia M'gladbach II vs Bergisch Gladbach · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–1 - FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–0 - Bonner SC vs Hilden · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 0–1