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Regionalliga - West · Germany
FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Bocholt host Sportfreunde Lotte in the Regionalliga - West (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Bocholt 1–0 Sportfreunde Lotte.
Going into the match, FC Bocholt had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 24. Sportfreunde Lotte had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of FC Bocholt's last 10 and 4 of Sportfreunde Lotte's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Bocholt averaged 2.10 goals scored and 2.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sportfreunde Lotte averaged 1.17 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from FC Bocholt and 1.02 from Sportfreunde Lotte. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 61%, 21% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Bocholt (green) and Sportfreunde Lotte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bocholt | LLLWD | 2.10 | 2.40 | 100% | 90% |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | WLLLL | 0.80 | 2.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Sportfreunde Lotte 1–1 FC Bocholt
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| FC Bocholt Win | 60% | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| FC Bocholt HT & FT | 46% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.03 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - West matches that day
- Borussia M'gladbach II vs Bergisch Gladbach · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 2–1 - Bonner SC vs Hilden · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 0–1 - Sportfreunde Siegen vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - West
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.47