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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Moscow 2 host Zvezda St. Petersburg in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartak Moscow 2 2–3 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Going into the match, Spartak Moscow 2 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Zvezda St. Petersburg had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Spartak Moscow 2's last 10 and 8 of Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Moscow 2 averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zvezda St. Petersburg averaged 1.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Spartak Moscow 2 and 1.26 from Zvezda St. Petersburg. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Moscow 2 (green) and Zvezda St. Petersburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow 2 | DLWDL | 0.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| Zvezda St. Petersburg | LLLLL | 1.40 | 2.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jun 2026 · Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–3 Spartak Moscow 2
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.78 |
| Spartak Moscow 2 Win | 49% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.93 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.