Home › League stats › Erovnuli Liga › Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spaeri host Torpedo Kutaisi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spaeri 3–3 Torpedo Kutaisi.
Going into the match, Spaeri had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Torpedo Kutaisi had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Spaeri's last 10 and 8 of Torpedo Kutaisi's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spaeri averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Torpedo Kutaisi averaged 1.60 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Spaeri and 1.93 from Torpedo Kutaisi. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 44%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaeri | LLDDL | 1.50 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | LWDDL | 1.90 | 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jun 2026 · Torpedo Kutaisi 0–0 Spaeri
- 1 May 2026 · Spaeri 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.08 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi Win | 43% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.