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1. Liga · Latvia
Smiltene vs Mārupe prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Smiltene host Mārupe in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Smiltene had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 24. Mārupe had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Smiltene's last 10 and 5 of Mārupe's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Smiltene averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Mārupe averaged 1.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Smiltene and 1.51 from Mārupe. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 27%. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Smiltene (green) and Mārupe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Jul 2026 · Mārupe 2–1 Smiltene
Other 1. Liga matches that day
- JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
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Published pick: BTTS Yes - Tukums II vs Riga FC II · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals