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1. Liga · Latvia
Leevon / PPK vs Valmiera / BSS prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leevon / PPK host Valmiera / BSS in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Leevon / PPK had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 12. Valmiera / BSS had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leevon / PPK's last 10 and 9 of Valmiera / BSS's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leevon / PPK averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Valmiera / BSS averaged 2.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Leevon / PPK and 1.72 from Valmiera / BSS. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%, against 33%, 24% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leevon / PPK (green) and Valmiera / BSS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK | LDWWD | 2.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Valmiera / BSS | WDDLW | 2.80 | 1.40 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · Valmiera / BSS 4–1 Leevon / PPK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 1.93 |
| Valmiera / BSS Win | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Liga matches that day
- Smiltene vs Mārupe · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes - JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes - Tukums II vs Riga FC II · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Skanste vs Metta / LU · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals