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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International

Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21 prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Netherlands U21 WinOdds 1.25Market probability 72%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Slovenia U21 host Netherlands U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Netherlands U21 Win — Netherlands U21 to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Slovenia U21 2–4 Netherlands U21.

Going into the match, Slovenia U21 had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Netherlands U21 had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1, with 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Slovenia U21's last 2 and 0 of Netherlands U21's last 1; 1 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Slovenia U21 averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Netherlands U21 averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.

The 1X2 prices imply about 11% for Slovenia U21, 18% for the draw and 72% for Netherlands U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Slovenia U21 (green) and Netherlands U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack44% – 56%
Defence46% – 54%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals0% – 100%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Slovenia U21LD1.502.00100%50%
Netherlands U21D0.000.000%0%

Averages over each side's last 2 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Netherlands U21 Win72%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.54
Over 2.5 Goals58%1.62
Under 9.5 Corners56%1.67
Netherlands U21 1st Half Win54%1.67
Netherlands U21 HT & FT52%1.80
BTTS No51%1.80
Under 2.5 Goals42%2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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