Skanste vs Smiltene prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.29Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Skanste host Smiltene in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Skanste to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Skanste had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 21. Smiltene had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 28 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Skanste's last 10 and 8 of Smiltene's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Skanste averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Smiltene averaged 1.36 scored and 2.45 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.73 goals from Skanste and 1.87 from Smiltene. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 25%, against 51%, 21% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Skanste (green) and Smiltene (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form23% – 77%

Attack41% – 59%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals59% – 41%

Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Skanste	LLLWL	2.60	2.10	80%	70%
Smiltene	DWWWL	2.10	2.80	80%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 Jun 2026 · Smiltene 2–4 Skanste