Mārupe vs Riga Mariners prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mārupe host Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Riga Mariners to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Mārupe had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Riga Mariners had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Mārupe's last 10 and 7 of Riga Mariners's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mārupe averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Riga Mariners averaged 3.00 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Mārupe and 2.14 from Riga Mariners. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 58%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mārupe (green) and Riga Mariners (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%

Attack36% – 64%

Defence76% – 24%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals22% – 78%

Overall strength44% – 56%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mārupe	DWDWL	1.50	1.50	50%	60%
Riga Mariners	WLWLW	2.80	1.80	70%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Jun 2026 · Riga Mariners 2–0 Mārupe