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Persha Liga · Ukraine
SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SK Poltava host Prykarpattia in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SK Poltava 4–0 Prykarpattia.
Going into the match, SK Poltava had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Prykarpattia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SK Poltava's last 10 and 4 of Prykarpattia's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SK Poltava averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Prykarpattia averaged 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from SK Poltava and 0.84 from Prykarpattia. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 19%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SK Poltava (green) and Prykarpattia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava | LWLWL | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Prykarpattia | LDLWL | 1.30 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| SK Poltava Win | 53% | 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Persha Liga matches that day
- Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Persha Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.21 · FT 4–1 - Kolos Kovalivka II vs UCSA · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Persha Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 0–0 - Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Persha Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–1