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Premier League · Bahrain
Sitra vs Al Riffa prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sitra host Al Riffa in the Premier League (Bahrain) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Riffa Win — Al Riffa to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sitra 2–3 Al Riffa.
Going into the match, Sitra had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Al Riffa had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Sitra's last 10 and 4 of Al Riffa's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sitra averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al Riffa averaged 2.00 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Sitra and 1.70 from Al Riffa. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 53%, against 17%, 25% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sitra (green) and Al Riffa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Al Riffa Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Al Najma vs A'Ali · 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 1–2