Al Najma vs A'Ali prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.30Market probability 71%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Najma host A'Ali in the Premier League (Bahrain) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Al Najma to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al Najma 1–2 A'Ali.

Going into the match, Al Najma had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 18. A'Ali had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Al Najma's last 10 and 3 of A'Ali's last 10; 8 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Najma averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home A'Ali averaged 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Al Najma and 1.59 from A'Ali. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Najma (green) and A'Ali (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack69% – 31%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals29% – 71%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Najma	DWLWL	2.10	1.80	60%	80%
A'Ali	LLWLD	0.70	1.20	30%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Double Chance 12	70%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
BTTS No	50%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.15
Al Najma Win	41%	2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.