Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.25Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Siroki Brijeg host Čelik in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Siroki Brijeg had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Čelik had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Siroki Brijeg's last 10 and 5 of Čelik's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Siroki Brijeg averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Čelik averaged 1.22 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Siroki Brijeg and 1.12 from Čelik. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Siroki Brijeg (green) and Čelik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack45% – 55%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength48% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Siroki Brijeg	WDLDL	1.10	1.10	70%	50%
Čelik	LDDWL	1.10	1.50	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

14 Aug 2026 · Čelik 1–2 Siroki Brijeg

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.32
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.45
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.67
BTTS No	52%	1.77
Siroki Brijeg Win	48%	1.90
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.15
Siroki Brijeg HT & FT	32%	2.88

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.