Home › League stats › Premijer Liga › FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Premijer Liga · Bosnia
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Sarajevo host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FK Sarajevo Win — FK Sarajevo to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FK Sarajevo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of FK Sarajevo's last 10 and 7 of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Sarajevo averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zeljeznicar Sarajevo averaged 0.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from FK Sarajevo and 0.64 from Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 15%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Sarajevo (green) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | DDWWL | 1.00 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | DLDDW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–0 FK Sarajevo
- 25 May 2026 · FK Sarajevo 1–0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| FK Sarajevo Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.15 |
| FK Sarajevo HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premijer Liga matches that day
- Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premijer Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25