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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Sfera U20 vs Guarani U20 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sfera U20 host Guarani U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sfera U20 2–1 Guarani U20.
Going into the match, Sfera U20 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Guarani U20 had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sfera U20's last 10 and 5 of Guarani U20's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sfera U20 averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Guarani U20 averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Sfera U20 and 1.17 from Guarani U20. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sfera U20 (green) and Guarani U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sfera U20 | WLLWD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Guarani U20 | WDWWW | 2.00 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jul 2026 · Guarani U20 2–0 Sfera U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Guarani U20 Win | 40% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.