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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria

Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Septemvri Simitli host Kyustendil in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Septemvri Simitli to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Septemvri Simitli had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Kyustendil had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Septemvri Simitli's last 10 and 5 of Kyustendil's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Kyustendil averaged 0.63 scored and 2.50 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Septemvri Simitli and 0.87 from Kyustendil. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Septemvri Simitli (green) and Kyustendil (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence47% – 53%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength55% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Septemvri SimitliLLLDD1.501.7060%60%
KyustendilLLLDW0.801.6050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

Other Third League - Southwest matches that day