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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria

Natsional Sofia vs Kostinbrod prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Natsional Sofia host Kostinbrod in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Kostinbrod to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Natsional Sofia had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Kostinbrod had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Natsional Sofia's last 10 and 3 of Kostinbrod's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Natsional Sofia averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Kostinbrod averaged 0.70 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Natsional Sofia and 1.24 from Kostinbrod. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Natsional Sofia (green) and Kostinbrod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence22% – 78%
Overall strength30% – 69%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Natsional SofiaLDWLD1.201.9060%60%
KostinbrodLWWLW1.101.0030%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Third League - Southwest matches that day