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Liga I · Romania
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Universitatea Craiova in the Liga I (Romania) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Universitatea Craiova Win — Universitatea Craiova to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Universitatea Craiova had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 10 and 4 of Universitatea Craiova's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Universitatea Craiova averaged 0.94 scored and 1.00 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and 1.13 from Universitatea Craiova. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 47%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (green) and Universitatea Craiova (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | DLDLW | 0.80 | 1.50 | 50% | 30% |
| Universitatea Craiova | WWDWW | 2.00 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Universitatea Craiova Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe form and statistics
- Universitatea Craiova form and statistics
- Liga I statistics
Other Liga I matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga I
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Liga I
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40