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Liga I · Romania
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arges Pitesti host Uta Arad in the Liga I (Romania) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arges Pitesti had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Uta Arad had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Arges Pitesti's last 10 and 4 of Uta Arad's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arges Pitesti averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Uta Arad averaged 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Arges Pitesti and 0.96 from Uta Arad. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 30%, against 37%, 30% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arges Pitesti (green) and Uta Arad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arges Pitesti | DLDWL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Uta Arad | WLWLW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Arges Pitesti Win | 37% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga I matches that day
- FCSB vs Rapid · 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga I
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Liga I
Published pick: Universitatea Craiova Win @ 1.50 - Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Liga I
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40