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K League 2 · South Korea
Seongnam FC vs Suwon City FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Seongnam FC host Suwon City FC in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Seongnam FC 1–2 Suwon City FC.
Going into the match, Seongnam FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Suwon City FC had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Seongnam FC's last 10 and 6 of Suwon City FC's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Seongnam FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Suwon City FC averaged 1.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Seongnam FC and 1.60 from Suwon City FC. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%, against 27%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Seongnam FC (green) and Suwon City FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seongnam FC | LDLWD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Suwon City FC | WWDDW | 1.60 | 0.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Suwon City FC 0–0 Seongnam FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Yongin City vs Ansan Greeners · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Daegu FC vs Cheongju · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50