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K League 2 · South Korea
Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimpo Citizen host Paju Citizen in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimpo Citizen 4–1 Paju Citizen.
Going into the match, Gimpo Citizen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Paju Citizen had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gimpo Citizen's last 10 and 4 of Paju Citizen's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimpo Citizen averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Paju Citizen averaged 0.82 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Gimpo Citizen and 0.76 from Paju Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 20%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimpo Citizen (green) and Paju Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | LWDLL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Paju Citizen | DWDLD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Paju Citizen 0–1 Gimpo Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Gimpo Citizen Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Yongin City vs Ansan Greeners · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Daegu FC vs Cheongju · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Seongnam FC vs Suwon City FC · 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44