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Major League Soccer · USA
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Seattle Sounders host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 2 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Seattle Sounders Win — Seattle Sounders to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Seattle Sounders 2–1 Sporting Kansas City.
Going into the match, Seattle Sounders had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Sporting Kansas City had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Seattle Sounders's last 10 and 5 of Sporting Kansas City's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Seattle Sounders averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sporting Kansas City averaged 0.91 scored and 3.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Seattle Sounders and 1.28 from Sporting Kansas City. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 63%, 20% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Seattle Sounders (green) and Sporting Kansas City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | WWDDD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Sporting Kansas City | WLWLL | 1.30 | 2.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Seattle Sounders Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Seattle Sounders HT & FT | 44% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.