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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
SD Logroñés vs Náxara prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SD Logroñés host Náxara in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SD Logroñés 1–1 Náxara.
Going into the match, SD Logroñés had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Náxara had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SD Logroñés's last 10 and 4 of Náxara's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SD Logroñés averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Náxara averaged 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from SD Logroñés and 1.08 from Náxara. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 33%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SD Logroñés (green) and Náxara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD Logroñés | LLLDD | 0.90 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Náxara | WDLLL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Náxara 2–0 SD Logroñés
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| SD Logroñés Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| SD Logroñés HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Arnedo vs Tudelano · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.84 · FT 2–2 - Terrassa vs UD Logroñés II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Calamocha vs Peña Sport · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Barbastro vs Manresa · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 0–0 - Reddis vs Espanyol II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28